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Cambridge Weekly Update – 14th October 2019

Atmospheric improvements It is quite incredible how much market sentiment can swing at the moment on the back of ‘atmospheric’ changes in the political debate. Only last week, we wrote how the political news-flow did not contribute positively to the…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 7th October 2019

Stall speed economy fears spreading Once again, politics took our breath away during this first week of October. Donald Trump appeared to live-stream ever more evidence for his own impeachment, while the UK’s Boris Johnson ricocheted in his Brexit language…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 30th September 2019

  Ominous US-Dollar strength The unprecedented events unfolding in UK politics this week will have distracted many UK investors from developments in the wider world. But those global developments may well carry far greater significance for near-term return developments than the…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 24th September 2019

Diverging economic trends – catalyst for trade war resolution? We know from conversations with some of our portfolio investors and financial advisers that the investing UK public is currently almost entirely focused on every twist and turn of the Brexit drama. However,…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 16th September 2019

Market sentiment rebound Last week, we wrote that equity markets would need to see an improvement in global economic growth if they were to move higher. So, it was typical commentator’s curse that this week saw a rise in equities all over…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 9th September 2019

Choppy water but no storm, yet The week has, yet again, felt tumultuous. The government’s Brexit strategy has been halted in its tracks by a miscalculation of the official opposition and internal Conservative Party opposition. Many commentators were also confounded, and we…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 2nd September 2019

Fattening ‘tails’ It does not happen often that market-moving news emerges after we have finished writing The Cambridge Weekly. Last week proved to be an exception. Having just commented on how politics and the prospect of fiscal easing by US…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 27th August 2019

Populism politics reversing austerity? Following last week’s excitement over the yield curve inversions in the US and UK – which have been powerful recession predictors in the past – this week saw the return of calmer capital markets. World stock markets have…

Cambridge Weekly Update – 19th August 2019

Market spat between bond and equity markets Last week, we suggested that the recent market pullback (down, then up to almost recovered) is unlikely to be the end of this bout of market volatility. Sure enough, markets became even more…

Cambridge Weekly – 12th August 2019

Bond markets unnerve equity markets – again We have repeatedly commented on these pages that the good mood in asset markets this year is more to do with central bank policy than a positive backdrop of the real economy. With…

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